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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72"><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'> <img width=623 height=151 id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image002.jpg@01D24FA4.41BB4AF0" alt="Description: Description: Description: Description: CAL/AAEM: California Chapter of the American Academy of Emergency Medicine"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div style='margin-left:15.0pt;margin-top:7.5pt;margin-right:15.0pt;margin-bottom:7.5pt' id=content><div style='border-top:solid #7F7F7F 1.0pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid #7F7F7F 1.0pt;border-right:none;padding:4.0pt 0in 4.0pt 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#7F7F7F'>November 11, 2016<o:p></o:p></span></b></p></div><div style='margin-top:11.25pt;margin-bottom:11.25pt'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#DF0009'><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#DF0009'>What happens to Medicaid in California under a Trump administration?<o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0070C0'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0070C0'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0000CC'><a href="http://www.scpr.org/news/2016/11/11/66087/what-happens-to-medicaid-in-california-under-a-tru/"><span style='color:#0000CC'>Southern California Public Radio (89.3KPCC)</span><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#0000CC'><o:p></o:p></span></a></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>President-elect Donald Trump has vowed that he will repeal and replace Obamacare. Specifics are scarce, but one plan Trump has outlined would change how the federal government funds Medicaid, health coverage for low-income people.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Twenty-million Americans now have health coverage because of Obamacare. A full quarter of them are in California. And most of them are covered by Medi-Cal, California's version of Medicaid.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"Winding back the clock would create all kinds of turbulence and disruption," says Larry Levitt, senior vice president for special initiatives at the Kaiser Family Foundation.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Right now, the federal government shares the cost of Medicaid with the states, no matter how many people are enrolled. But Trump wants to put a limit on that funding and give states a fixed pot of money called a block grant.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"A block grant would give California greater flexibility in running the Medi-Cal program, but it would also give the state less money," Levitt says.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>California would feel the pain more than other states. "The effect is magnified in California in part because the state has been so successful in getting people signed up for coverage," Levitt says.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>And in California, 62 percent of Medi-Cal enrollees who have signed up since Obamacare allowed states to expand Medicaid are Latino, African-American, or Asian-American.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>To save money, some states could pay doctors and hospitals less. But in California, payment rates are already the second lowest in the country.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"California can't really pay much less than it does to providers," says Gerald Kominski, a professor of health at the University of California, Los Angeles.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>In the face of severe budget cuts, Kominski says, the only choice California really would have is to reduce services or reduce the number of people who get Medi-Cal.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"That would have a devastating consequence on the Medicaid expansion population in California, and would basically put everyone who's been newly enrolled in the program back off the program," he says.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>It's unclear how soon a Trump administration would change Medicaid funding, so health advocates are encouraging people to continue signing up for Medicaid and other coverage during the current Obamacare open enrollment season.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"California is not an island," says Anthony Wright, executive director of Health Access, an advocacy group, adding that the state "must engage fully in the coming national debate on the future of health reform — especially as an example of what has been achieved, and what we can't give up."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:30.95pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:30.95pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:30.95pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div style='border-top:solid #7F7F7F 1.0pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid #7F7F7F 1.0pt;border-right:none;padding:4.0pt 0in 4.0pt 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#7F7F7F'>November 11, 2016<o:p></o:p></span></b></p></div><div style='margin-top:11.25pt;margin-bottom:11.25pt'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#DF0009'><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#DF0009'>MACRA will move forward largely untouched when Trump steps in, experts say <o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0070C0'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0070C0'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#0000CC'><a href="http://www.healthcarefinancenews.com/news/macra-will-move-forward-largely-untouched-when-trump-steps-experts-say"><span style='color:#0000CC'>Healthcare Finance</span><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#0000CC'><o:p></o:p></span></a></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:15.7pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>By Beth Sanborn<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>With Donald Trump's election comes mass speculation on the direction his healthcare plans will take. He has long sworn to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, and the proposal floated on his presidential transition website reiterates this promise and provides hints as to other aspects of his plans.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>While some of MACRA is tied up in the ACA, experts said for the most part MACRA is safe, and will move forward largely untouched.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Anders Gilberg, senior vice president of government affairs for the Medical Group Management Association, said they are advising members to simply continue preparation for MACRA implementation. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'> "We don't see that that is going to be repealed. It was bipartisan, nearly a unanimous vote."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Christopher Kerns, managing director at The Advisory Board, also said MACRA is safe.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"MACRA is not in trouble, but mechanisms by which they control spending is what could change."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Kerns said there might be a shift away from accountable care organizations as a principal driver of controlling spending, and more toward bundled payments or price control, cuts, or other forms of utilization control in the form of reduction in reimbursement for different kinds of services.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"So far the ACO results that have been published have been tepid at best. There is not a lot of evidence that they have saved CMS a lot of money. It may be that congress does not have the patience for it," Kerns said. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Much of the conversation about what could change revolves around the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, otherwise known as CMMI. It is responsible for testing innovative payment and care delivery models, and whether it remains intact, undergoes some changes, or is scrapped outright along with the ACA remains to be seen.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>When it comes to many CMMI programs, Kerns said it's possible Congress may want to assert more control, and not provide them as much authority to make payment changes. Instead, they may opt for more mechanisms related to payment cuts.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>He said the greatest criticism of CMMI is that the changes they make are not subject to congressional approval, so for what is one of the largest spending programs on earth, Medicare, Congress doesn't get much say in how payment is going to be reformed going forward. But CMMI is part of the ACA, so if they repeal the law, CMMI goes with it.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>On the other hand, CMMI does provide the administration powerful tools to change payment and to control spending on its own without congressional approval -- though they've been subject to Congress' criticism, Kerns said the incoming administration may see value in keeping it around.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"Congress could also settle for limited authority, but the truth is we really don't know."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Gilberg said that even though he feels the law is safe overall, because CMMI is embedded in the ACA, it could at least end up under the microscope. However, just like the ACA, it can't be scrapped altogether without a viable alternative. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"CMMI and the billion dollars that come with it, is something that they'll definitely be looking at but they still have to create a pathway to alternative pay models," Gilberg said.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>The Medicare Shared Savings program is also also enshrined in the ACA, and is the main vehicle for alternative payment models. A shift away from MSSP as the main vehicle, possibly a dramatic one, is possible, along with some changes in bundled payment models as well.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"Pioneer and NextGen, mandatory bundled payments are part of CMMI. The ACA authorized CMMI to enact these as long as they were shown to save money and not damage quality. These are things that this Congress might be open to adjusting," Kerns said.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>However, he does believe MACRA fits into a bipartisan reform landscape in general, since it repealed the sustainable growth rate and moved physicians towards performance-based payment, which has support on both sides of the aisle.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>He listed three major point the industry should focus on in the coming months. First, he'll be looking at what kind of authority over payment reform congress wants to have over payment reform, something that could forecast whether CMMI survives. That is important for MACRA as the center develops many of the programs that count as APMs within MACRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Second, the new Congress' view of ACOs in general will be telling.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"Are they willing to continue to double down on them and use downside risk as a means of controlling spending or will they opt for reimbursement cuts moving forward?"<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Third, it will crucial to see how much emphasis Congress places on performance-based penalties and bonuses. This means looking at are they going to look to achieve their performance based payment by increasing the penalties and bonuses for quality performance, Kerns said.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>In a statement, the American Academy of Family Physicians said they don't believe MACRA as a whole is in any real danger of repeal.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"The election of Mr. Trump will have a limited impact on the MACRA law in the short-term. The law goes into effect January 1, 2017, before he is installed as president. Looking forward, this bi-partisan law was supported by 91 percent of Congress to bring about long needed value-based payment reform and repeal the flawed SGR. Based on the bipartisan support for the law, It is currently difficult to see how there would be any fundamental changes to the law under the Trump administration," said AAFP President John Meigs Jr.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Gilberg said that they have long regarded MACRA as a "living breathing thing" that will continue to evolve, even yearly, and where changes and adjustments should be expected, especially in 2018.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"There will always be refinements as we learn more in 2017 and we can expect this administration to be open to simplification, but I don't think the core is in jeopardy at all."<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:15.75pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-right:15.75pt'><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><strong><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Jeff Wells</span></strong><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><br>Deputy Editor, CAL/AAEM News Service<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><strong><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Brian Potts</span></strong><b><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'> MD, MBA</span></b><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><br>Managing Editor, CAL/AAEM News Service<br><br></span><o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal style='background:#D9D9D9'><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'>Contact us at: <span style='color:#0000CC'><a href="mailto:calaaem.news.service1@gmail.com"><span style='color:#0000CC'>calaaem.news.service1@gmail.com</span></a><br></span><br>For more articles, visit our <span style='color:blue'><a href="http://www.calaaem.org/news_archives.php"><span style='color:blue'>archives</span></a></span>. <br><br></span><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><a href="mailto:somcaaem@uci.edu"><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;color:black;text-decoration:none'>To</span></a></span><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;color:#0070C0'><a href="https://maillists.uci.edu/mailman/listinfo/calaaem"><span style='color:#0070C0;text-decoration:none'> </span><span style='color:blue'>unsubscribe</span></a></span><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'> from this list, visit our mail server.<br><br>Copyright (C) 2015. The California Chapter of the American Academy of Emergency Medicine (CAL/AAEM).</span> <span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif;color:#0000CC'><a href="http://www.calaaem.org"><span style='color:#0000CC'>http://www.calaaem.org</span></a></span><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'>. All rights reserved.<br><br>CAL/AAEM, a nonprofit professional organization for emergency physicians, operates the CAL/AAEM News Service solely as an educational resource for physicians. Dissemination of an article by CAL/AAEM News Service does not imply endorsement, agreement, or recommendation by CAL/AAEM News Service, CAL/AAEM, or AAEM.<br><br><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:#D9D9D9'><b><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'>Follow CAL/AAEM on Facebook and Twitter:<o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:#D9D9D9'><span style='font-size:7.5pt;font-family:"Verdana",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:#D9D9D9'><a href="http://www.facebook.com/pages/CalAAEM/172577489479442?sk=wall&filter=12" target="_blank"><span style='color:black;text-decoration:none'><img border=0 width=28 height=28 id="Picture_x0020_6" src="cid:image004.jpg@01D24FA4.41BB4AF0"></span></a> <a href="https://twitter.com/#!/CALAAEM"><span style='color:windowtext;text-decoration:none'><img border=0 width=30 height=30 id="Picture_x0020_7" src="cid:image006.jpg@01D24FA4.41BB4AF0"></span></a> <a href="http://escholarship.org/uc/uciem_westjem"><span style='color:windowtext;text-decoration:none'><img border=0 width=112 height=30 id="Picture_x0020_4" src="cid:image008.jpg@01D24FA4.41BB4AF0"></span></a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:#D9D9D9'><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><br />
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<td style="width: 55px; padding-top: 13px;"><a href="https://www.avast.com/sig-email?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient&utm_term=icon" target="_blank"><img src="https://ipmcdn.avast.com/images/icons/icon-envelope-tick-round-orange-animated-tick-v1.gif" width="46" height="29" style="width: 46px; height: 29px;" /></a></td>
<td style="width: 470px; padding-top: 12px; color: #41424e; font-size: 13px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;">Virus-free. <a href="https://www.avast.com/sig-email?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient&utm_term=link" target="_blank" style="color: #4453ea;">www.avast.com</a>
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